BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Sweden. It turned out to be a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi fall off, so be sure they are not on your lineups. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will try to receive my seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, and then I am going to take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of this card this week and he is also the biggest betting favored on the card. I believe we can stack this main event in cash games and use both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not positive if I will do that or not. I’ll for sure have Gustafsson within my money lineup though and he is who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to use I believe he’s the highest ceiling on the card and I think he gets a finish inside this fight. Possibly with multiple takedowns. He will be extremely popular in GPPs so if you would like to get away from him I think that the tournaments are the areas for that. I’ll be locking him to my cash lineup though .
GPP play of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her struggle and I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s best path to victory is penalizing Lansberg on the floor and that scores highly if she can do that. I also believe she could find a finish. I think she’s in play in most formats and I really do think she’s 100+ upside here and that is why she’s my GPP drama of the week. There aren’t a lot of UFC matchups I would say that for with Evinger at this point in her career, but this one seems perfect for her. I think she dominates this fight and finishes it with floor in pound in round 1 or 2. If that is the case, she should score well and possibly win a person $25k.
Underdog play of this week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I feel pressured to play Devin Clark this week because he’s only $7.5k but he’s the present gaming favorite. I really like that type of worth on DraftKings and that’s what is forcing me to roll up him. We have to include”underdogs” within our DK lineups and if we could really get a favored, or even a roster with 6 favorites, then which helps our odds of hitting all 6 fights and hopefully taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be hot this week also because of this value, therefore I think he is in play as a money game cube and if you would like, but in GPPs you will need to have him more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage over the area.
Fade of this week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is an easy fade for me this week. She is $8.6k but she’s the underdog on the gambling line. She is also +365 to win ITD. If I am paying that cost on DK I want higher finishing upside or somebody who’ll be heading for a lot of takedowns. I don’t see her having much of a ceiling in this fight even though she does win so that I don’t see her being around the $25k lineup. That is why I will be complete disappearing Santana this week. If I had been making 150 lineups then I’d include her in the combination, but I would need 50 lineups until I even considered using her.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 79-48 for +256.49u (+$25,649) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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